Alabama rain chances on the rise: How much will we get?
No severe weather is expected.
Alabama is looking at a shift in the weather pattern as the National Weather Service forecasts increased rain chances through the end of the week. While the state transitions into a classic summertime routine of humid afternoons paired with scattered showers and thunderstorms, relief from current dry conditions may be on the horizon.
No Severe Weather Expected
A front is set to approach the state and stall out over the coming days, acting as a catalyst for more frequent rain. While the forecast includes the potential for storms, the National Weather Service confirms that no severe weather is expected across the state over the next seven days.
Regional Rainfall Expectations
North Alabama is currently slated to receive the bulk of the activity. Recent weather service modeling indicates that northern parts of the state could see between a half-inch to 2 inches of rainfall within the next 72 hours. Looking further ahead to the seven-day outlook (covering May 19-26), some areas in northwest Alabama could accumulate between 3 and 4 inches of rain, while the rest of the state anticipates lesser totals.
South Alabama, which continues to grapple with a Level 3 out of 4 drought, will likely see rain, though in smaller quantities. Through Friday night, southern portions of the state may receive anywhere from a few hundredths of an inch to 1 inch of rain, with additional opportunities for moisture over the weekend.
Looking Long-Term
The extended forecast from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center suggests this trend of above-average precipitation may stick around. The eight- to 14-day outlook shows an elevated probability for increased rainfall across most of the state. Southwest Alabama currently has a 40-50 percent probability of above-average rainfall, while the majority of the state sits at 33-40 percent odds. A small sliver of North Alabama is expected to see near-normal rainfall levels during that period. 205focus.com will continue to monitor the latest updates as they become available.